CORRELATION
Correlation
is a measure of association or relatedness between two variables. A positive correlation occurs when high
values in one variable "go with" high values in the other variable,
and low with low. A negative
correlation occurs when high values in one variable go with low values
of the other variable, and low with high.
Here are some data that are positively correlated.
Person1 Height Weight
Dad 6'3" 160
Benjamin 2'2" 28
Elizabeth 2'5" 28
Mom
5'4" 115
When
two variables are correlated, we may say there is "convergence", or
that we have "criterion
validity", or that there is "confounding", depending on
our purposes. When one variable is
highly correlated with itself at a later time, we say it is "reliable". In the height/weight example, we could say
these two variables converge on a construct of SIZE, or that height is an
(externally) valid measure of SIZE (assuming we take weight to be the ultimate
criterion of SIZE), or that height and weight are confounded with each other.
There
are several statistical techniques for making this degree of relatedness
explicit. The most common one is the
Pearson correlation coefficient (symbolized as "r"), which ranges
from -1.00 (perfect negative relation) through 0.00 (no relationship) to
+1.00 (perfect positive relation).
Since perfect relationships are rare, most correlations are decimal
fractions. (Note the height/weight
correlation above is not perfect.
Elizabeth should weigh a bit more, or Benjamin a bit less, based on
their respective heights, OR, if their weights are equal, their heights should
be equal too. Also notice that
correlated variables don't necessarily have the "same numbers". Finally, notice that it wouldn't matter
whether height was in inches, centimeters, finger lengths, etc. The Pearson r ignores the numbers themselves
and looks only at their relationships.)
Here
are some sample values of r (from Am.Psych.jun84p702modified):
"HIGH"
CORRELATIONS
IQ
test reliability .93
IQ
& first grade grades
.85-.90
traffic
fatalities & indices of
progress in 3rd world countries
-.72
"MODERATE"
CORRELATIONS
IQ
in high school & college grades
.50-.55
Physical
similarity--spouses
.40
IQ
of fraternal twins
.54
Aversive
maternal and child
behaviors
.55
"LOW"
CORRELATIONS
Reading
achievement & TV viewing -.05
GRE
and grad school grades .17
-------------------
1This data is old. B now weighs 190 and is 6'; E now weighs 122
and is 5' 9". Is there still a
correlation between height and weight in our family?
Twin Correlations
Interclass correlations (R), sample sizes,
and MZA/MZT ratio for monozygotic twins reared apart and together for nine classes of variables,
NA = not available. (Science, 250, 1990)